Jessica Prendergast, a freelance foresight consultant based in Germany, discusses the futures of foresight at day two of the three-day ForesightNZ workshop in Wellington on 27–29 April. Jessica’s three key ideas around what the future of foresight will be:
- Diffused and embedded.
For example a lot of EU policy won’t get past stage one without having completed a foresight project.
- Experiential, based on evidence and observation.
- Design fiction + rapid prototyping + futures testing.
People are more willing to put an idea out there rather than wait for prolonged research.
You can watch the video of her presentation on the McGuinness Institute’s YouTube channel, or view it below.
Jessica stated that experience and engagement is very important when thinking about foresight. She encouraged participants to continuously think about policy, risk management and integration of decisions. Jessica gave the workshop the example of the European Union, which requires foresight projects before any policy is implemented, to reinforce her point.
ForesightNZ playing cards
Jessica’s presentation led to the development of the ForesightNZ Trend Card: Corporate influence on government policy. This card is one out of a pack of 64 that was developed at the ForesightNZ workshop. Participants created a robust foresight tool in the form of a pack of cards based on the events and trends that they believe could significantly shape New Zealand’s long-term future. They then designed three different games to play with the pack. The games aim to develop a deeper understanding of the possible futures that might occur if a small number of those cards played out in real life. The pack of cards are in the final stage of production and will soon be made available to download, print and cut your own – keep an eye out on the website. They are also available to purchase from our online store. The accompanying booklet is now published on the website and available to purchase here.
About the ForesightNZ workshop
Project: ForesightNZ aims to build public policy capability in New Zealand by encouraging long-term, agile thinking around our uncertain future. Initiated in 2008, ForesightNZ is about conceptualising the broad range of possible futures for New Zealand through up-to-date tools and conceptual approaches used in the field of futures studies. The primary focus of the ForesightNZ: Untangling New Zealand’s long-term future workshop was to develop a way to deal with the increasing complexity and uncertainty in the world around us. This workshop was a collaboration between the New Zealand Treasury and the McGuinness Institute. To watch other speaker presentation videos from the ForesightNZ workshop, head to the McGuinness Institute’s YouTube Channel.