We are a non-partisan think tank applying hindsight, insight and foresight to explore major challenges and opportunities facing New Zealand over the long term. 

We are committed to positively influencing public policy by empowering
New Zealanders to have the uncomfortable, but necessary, conversations
that are required to enable New Zealand to realise its potential.

COVID-19 Nation Dates

The second edition of COVID-19 Nation Dates: A New Zealand timeline of significant events during the COVID-19 pandemic is now publishedThis edition includes a total of 706 entries to cover the timeline of 23 January 2020 to mid- to late 2024. 
 
This book is the latest edition in our Nation Dates series and is available to order from our online shop. For more information, please see our Nation Dates website.

McGuinness Institute library

The Institute houses publications on New Zealand’s future-thinking initiatives and historical development, the theory and practice of future-thinking, strategy development, and national and international perspectives. The collection, which is now over 5000 publications and growing, is categorised into three sections based on rarity: bronze, silver and gold.

2024 Newsletter

2024 has been another big year at the McGuinness Institute.

Publishing another book in the Nation Dates series, updating Discussion Paper 2024/01 – Risks hiding in plain sight, and attending an OECD conference in Paris are just a few of the things that have filled our calendar and kept us working hard. For a comprehensive list of our work this year, please see our2024 work programme.

This newsletter showcases some 2024 highlights and gives insight into our plans for the new year.

McGuinness Institute publications

The Institute keeps a chronological record of all our digital and physical publications from 2008 onwards. Use this table to search by name, date, publication type, research project or policy project.

COVID-19 Nation Dates

The second edition of COVID-19 Nation Dates: A New Zealand timeline of significant events during the COVID-19 pandemic is now publishedThis edition includes a total of 706 entries to cover the timeline of 23 January 2020 to mid- to late 2024. 
 
This book is the latest edition in our Nation Dates series and is available to order from our online store. For more information, please see our Nation Dates website.

Silver library open

The Institute houses publications on New Zealand’s future-thinking initiatives and historical development, the theory and practice of future-thinking, strategy development, and national and international perspectives. The collection, which is now over 5000 and growing, is categorised into three libraries based on rarity: bronze, silver and gold.

The silver library is open for visitors between 9am–5pm, Monday to Friday. To make an appointment, email enquiries@mcguinnessinstitute.org or phone 04 499 8888.

2024 Newsletter

2024 has been another big year at the McGuinness Institute.

Publishing another book in the Nation Dates series, updating Discussion Paper 2024/01 – Risks hiding in plain sight, and attending an OECD conference in Paris are just a few of the things that have filled our calendar and kept us working hard. For a comprehensive list of our work this year, please see our 2024 work programme.

This newsletter showcases some 2024 highlights and gives insight into our plans for the new year.

McGuinness Institute publications

The Institute keeps a chronological record of all digital and physical publications in table format. Use this to search by name, date, publication type, research project or policy project.

special topic

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)

Addendum to Discussion Paper 2024/01

This addendum explains what is new in terms of the recently published (10 October 2024) Financial Statements of the Government of New Zealand for the Year Ended 30 June 2024 (the 2024 Financial Statements) and other recent developments, including a discussion with Minister Watts at the Climate Change and Business conference.

It builds on our June 2024 Discussion Paper 2024/01 – Risks hiding in plain sight: Does a commitment under the Paris Agreement to purchase offshore carbon credits create a requirement to report that commitment in the financial statements of the New Zealand Government?

October 2024
Link to download

Discussion Paper 2024/01 – Risks hiding in plain sight

This is a technical accounting paper that explores whether a commitment by the New Zealand Government to purchase offshore carbon credits to offset emissions should be reported in the financial statements of the New Zealand Government (the overarching accounting problem). It applies current accounting standards to the issue and concludes that a commitment should be recognised as a liability and/or contingent liability in the financial statements of the Government of New Zealand.

June 2024
Updated 23 October 2024, in accordance with the Institute’s Addendum to Discussion Paper 2024/01. This resulted in an additional note being added to Figure 5.1 – The Government’s financial reporting system (see asterisk [*] on p. 35).
Link to download

See the press release.

Video: Minister Watts, 10 September 2024

Minister Watts discussing New Zealand’s decision to purchase offshore carbon credits to meet the NDC commitments under the Paris Agreement.

10 September 2024
Climate Change and Business Conference, Auckland

latest blogs

How can we do better next time? The Government’s COVID-19 response under the microscope

As we undertook this research into the COVID-19 pandemic, we started to identify key trends, threads and lessons that stood out. A non-partisan approach is essential for this kind of analysis, investigating what happened, how New Zealand responded and how outcomes could be improved. By taking a step back and observing New Zealand’s COVID-19 response as a whole, we came away with a number of important reflections for the next pandemic.

Learning from the UK Defence Force think tank

The UK Ministry of Defence’s think tank is called the Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC). Wendy McGuinness met with the team at DCDC twice in 2023, once in Wellington (New Zealand) and once in Oxfordshire (UK).

How to communicate in a complex world, with Janine Gould

On Thursday 30 November 2023, the Institute welcomed communication expert Janine Gould to share some of her wisdom. Janine has over 30 years of experience in verbal communication skills coaching as Founding Director of Communicate Consultants.

policy projects

Exploring New Zealand’s probable and possible futures

Building pathways to New Zealand’s preferred future

Contributing to an informed New Zealand